Philip Eyrikson Tetlock

Philip Eyrikson Tetlock is a Canadian-American political psychologist and author known for his work on political judgment and forecasting. He gained prominence through his research on expert predictions, demonstrating that while experts can outperform random chance, their accuracy is often not significantly better than that of non-experts. Tetlock's influential books, such as 'Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction,' explore how individuals can improve their forecasting abilities by employing probabilistic thinking and critical analysis.