Phillip Tetlock
Phillip Tetlock is a renowned political psychologist and author, best known for his work on expert judgment and forecasting accuracy. His book, 'Expert Political Judgment,' examines the predictive capabilities of experts, revealing that their forecasts often fall short of expectations and can be less accurate than random chance, prompting discussions on the inherent biases and limitations faced by those in positions of expertise.
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Phillip Tetlock's book 'Expert Political Judgement' highlights the poor accuracy of expert predictions.
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